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Lebanon U17 W vs Australia U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 8), Suzhou
Lebanon U17 W Logo

Lebanon U17 W

1 - 1
FT
Australia U17 W Logo

Australia U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Taylor J.
30' Event
Mouithys T.
Assist: Sarris K.
46'
Sub
Karaberis F. In: Hussein L.
Out: Karaberis F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lebanon U17 W
20%
Draws
40%
Australia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lebanon U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Australia U17 W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Lebanon U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lebanon U17 W Clean Sheet 12%
Australia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U17 W Australia U17 W
Matches Played 7 11
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.57 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Lebanon U17 W vs Australia U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karnib S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Australia U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouithys T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U17 W 29 / 100
Australia U17 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U17 W Australia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lebanon U17 W scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Defensive concern: Australia U17 W conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lebanon U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U17 W VS Australia U17 W
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.57 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U17 W

(Home)
08 May
India U17 W
4 : 0
Lebanon U17 W
05 May
Lebanon U17 W
1 : 1
Australia U17 W
02 May
Japan U17 W
13 : 0
Lebanon U17 W
16 Feb
Lebanon U17 W
4 : 0
Syria U17 W
14 Feb
Lebanon U17 W
3 : 0
Bahrain U17 W
Page 1 of 2

Australia U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Vietnam U17 W
0 : 2
Australia U17 W
08 May
Japan U17 W
5 : 0
Australia U17 W
05 May
Lebanon U17 W
1 : 1
Australia U17 W
02 May
Australia U17 W
2 : 0
India U17 W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 W 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 Vietnam U17 W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
3 Thailand U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Myanmar U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Australia U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 India U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Lebanon U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:18 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 South Korea U17 W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Philippines U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:14 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams