Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022

Lebanon U23

4 - 0

Nepal U23

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Farran Z.

48'

Farran Z.

74'

Nasser M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Lebanon U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Lebanon U23

15%

Draws

Nepal U23

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Lebanon U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Lebanon U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lebanon U23, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lebanon U23	Nepal U23
Matches Played	31	27
Wins	8	4
Draws	5	1
Losses	18	22
Goals Scored	1.23	0.48
Goals Conceded	1.81	3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23

4:0

Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23

Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Farran Z.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nasser M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Nepal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38

Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 95 / 100

Nepal U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lebanon U23 Nepal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Nepal U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lebanon U23 scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Nepal U23

0.75 Goals Scored 0.67

2.38 Goals Conceded 4

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)

13 Jan

Iran U23

0 : 1

Lebanon U23

10 Jan

Lebanon U23

2 : 4

South Korea U23

07 Jan

Uzbekistan U23

3 : 2

Lebanon U23

09 Sept

Lebanon U23

3 : 0

Mongolia U23

06 Sept

Lebanon U23

2 : 2

Thailand U23

Page 1 of 7

Nepal U23

(Away)

09 Sept

Philippines U23

4 : 0

Nepal U23

06 Sept

Nepal U23

2 : 4

Syria U23

03 Sept

Tajikistan U23

4 : 0

Nepal U23

31 Oct

Lebanon U23

4 : 0

Nepal U23

28 Oct

Nepal U23

0 : 6

Tajikistan U23

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