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Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kourani H.
90' Event
Kourani H.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2018 game between Lebanon U23 and Nepal U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lebanon U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lebanon U23
15%
Draws
0%
Nepal U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lebanon U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lebanon U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U23 Nepal U23
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.23 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.81 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23
4:0
Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Lebanon U23 vs Nepal U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kourani H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nepal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 84 / 100
Nepal U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U23 Nepal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Away concern: Nepal U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lebanon U23's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Nepal U23
0.75 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4
South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2
Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 7

Nepal U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams