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Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U23 2021
Lebanon U23 Logo

Lebanon U23

2 - 4
FT
Palestine U23 Logo

Palestine U23

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Direya M.
12' Event
Direya M.
28' Event
Nasser M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Palestine U23 in this WAFF Championship U23 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palestine U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lebanon U23
15%
Draws
39%
Palestine U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Palestine U23 have won more games recently than Lebanon U23.
  • Model gives Lebanon U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this WAFF Championship U23 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Palestine U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Palestine U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U23 Palestine U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Friendly International
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
0:3
Oct 6, 2021 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs Palestine U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasser M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bader K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Palestine U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Direya M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Al Nabris K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 41 / 100
Palestine U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U23 Palestine U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Palestine U23 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Lebanon U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon U23 VS Palestine U23
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon U23

(Home)
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Lebanon U23
2 : 4
South Korea U23
07 Jan
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 2
Lebanon U23
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Lebanon U23
2 : 2
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6

Palestine U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
2 : 1
Palestine U23
06 Sept
Sri Lanka U23
0 : 5
Palestine U23
03 Sept
Palestine U23
1 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
25 Aug
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Palestine U23
22 Aug
Lebanon U23
0 : 3
Palestine U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Oman U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Lebanon U23 3 0 1 2 4:9 1
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Syria U23 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Bahrain U23 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - WAFF Championship U23 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams