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Lebanon U23 vs Yemen U23

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lebanon U23 play Yemen U23 in the WAFF Championship U23 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lebanon U23 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Yemen U23 averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Lebanon U23 won 0, Yemen U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 16, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.08 for Lebanon U23 and 1.58 for Yemen U23. This points to a Yemen U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lebanon U23
16%
Draws
54%
Yemen U23
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Yemen U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Lebanon U23 picked up more points recently compared to Yemen U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.08 vs 1.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Lebanon U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Yemen U23 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon U23 Yemen U23
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2023 WAFF Championship U23
Lebanon U23 vs Yemen U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yemen U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sharafi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahross H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon U23 30 / 100
Yemen U23 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon U23 Yemen U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yemen U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Yemen U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lebanon U23 attacking → ← attacking Yemen U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Yemen U23 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lebanon U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yemen U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.17
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iraq U2321105:24
2Jordan U2321104:34
3United Arab Emirates U2320021:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iran U2321104:24
2Palestine U2321102:14
3Syria U2320021:40
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oman U2322004:06
2Yemen U2321012:43
3Lebanon U2320021:30