Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Tshering O.
46'
46'
Sub
Kassas A. In: Kaddour K.
Out: Kassas A.
57'
57'
Sub
Darwiche K. In: Fakhro M.
Out: Darwiche K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lebanon lately — more wins on the board than Bhutan.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Lebanon taking it.
- Lebanon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lebanon, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lebanon here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lebanon | Bhutan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 2.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2025 Asian Cup
Bhutan vs Lebanon
0:4
Oct 9, 2025 Asian Cup
Lebanon vs Bhutan
2:0
Jun 25, 2023 SAFF Championship
Bhutan vs Lebanon
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lebanon Compare
Top Goalscorer Shour W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ayoub J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Bhutan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lebanon 95 / 100
Bhutan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lebanon Bhutan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lebanon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bhutan conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.
Lebanon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Bhutan lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lebanon VS Bhutan
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lebanon
(Home) 04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2 Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1 Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3 Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4 Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0 Bhutan
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2 Yemen
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0 Bhutan
25 Mar
Lebanon
5 : 0 Brunei
20 Mar
Lebanon
4 : 0 Timor-Leste
08 Sept
Lebanon
0 : 1 Malaysia
Page 1 of 3
Bhutan
(Away) 08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1 Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0 Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1 Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1 Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1 Bhutan
Page 1 of 6
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1 Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0 Bhutan
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1 Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1 Bhutan
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0 Bhutan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
