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Lebanon vs Brunei

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, Al Wakrah
Lebanon Logo

Lebanon

5 - 0
FT
Brunei Logo

Brunei

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fakhro M.
Assist: Safwan M.
16'
Shour W.
21' Event
Merheg S. J.
Assist: Safwan M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lebanon
15%
Draws
0%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lebanon lately — more wins on the board than Brunei.
  • Win probability leans Lebanon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lebanon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lebanon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%
Brunei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon Brunei
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.35 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Brunei vs Lebanon
0:3
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Lebanon vs Brunei
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fakhro M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Merheg S. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Brunei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon 95 / 100
Brunei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Brunei registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brunei conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Lebanon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon VS Brunei
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon

(Home)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6

Brunei

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)