Sport Picks

Asia

Asian Cup Women

Lebanon W

3 - 1

Iran W

Our Tip

Match Events

Maalouf C.

22'

Maalouf C.

57'

Shaban F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Lebanon W

15%

Draws

Iran W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lebanon W come out ahead of Iran W on wins alone.
Lebanon W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Lebanon W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lebanon W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Lebanon W Clean Sheet 10%

Iran W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lebanon W	Iran W
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	16	9
Draws	2	5
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.79	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.32
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Asian Cup Women

Lebanon W vs Iran W

3:1

Nov 8, 2018 Olympic Games Women

Iran W vs Lebanon W

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maalouf C.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Iran W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaban F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.9

Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon W 34 / 100

Iran W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lebanon W Iran W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lebanon W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Iran W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Iran W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon W VS Iran W

1 Goals Scored 4.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon W

(Home)

28 Nov

Jordan W

5 : 0

Lebanon W

26 Nov

Lebanon W

0 : 3

Palestine W

19 Jul

Singapore W

0 : 1

Lebanon W

16 Jul

Lebanon W

3 : 1

Iran W

10 Jul

Bhutan W

2 : 1

Lebanon W

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Iran W

(Away)

08 Mar

Iran W

0 : 2

Philippines W

05 Mar

Iran W

0 : 4

Australia W

02 Mar

South Korea W

3 : 0

Iran W

02 Dec

Uzbekistan W

1 : 0

Iran W

29 Nov

Uzbekistan W

2 : 0

Iran W

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