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Lebanon W vs Jordan W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Maysa J.
20' Event
Maysa J.
32' Event
Al Bitar B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lebanon W
15%
Draws
61%
Jordan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jordan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lebanon W come out ahead of Jordan W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jordan W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Lebanon W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jordan W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Jordan W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lebanon W Clean Sheet 10%
Jordan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lebanon W Jordan W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.79 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 WAFF Championship Women
Jordan W vs Lebanon W
5:0
Jul 7, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Lebanon W vs Jordan W
0:4
Feb 23, 2024 WAFF Championship Women
Lebanon W vs Jordan W
0:2
Sep 1, 2022 WAFF Championship Women
Lebanon W vs Jordan W
1:2
Apr 12, 2021 Friendly International Women
Lebanon W vs Jordan W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lebanon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jordan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maysa J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Bitar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lebanon W 10 / 100
Jordan W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lebanon W Jordan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jordan W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Jordan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Lebanon W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lebanon W VS Jordan W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lebanon W

(Home)
28 Nov
Jordan W
5 : 0
Lebanon W
26 Nov
Lebanon W
0 : 3
Palestine W
19 Jul
Singapore W
0 : 1
Lebanon W
16 Jul
Lebanon W
3 : 1
Iran W
10 Jul
Bhutan W
2 : 1
Lebanon W
Page 1 of 6

Jordan W

(Away)
09 Jun
Jordan W
1 : 0
Palestine W
03 Jun
Jordan W
4 : 3
Malaysia W
02 Dec
Jordan W
3 : 1
Palestine W
30 Nov
Jordan W
3 : 0
Iraq W
28 Nov
Jordan W
5 : 0
Lebanon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
2 Jordan W 4 3 0 1 13:2 9
3 Bhutan W 4 2 0 2 6:13 6
4 Lebanon W 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 Singapore W 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 4 4 0 0 24:1 12
2 Thailand W 4 3 0 1 23:2 9
3 Timor-Leste W 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
4 Iraq W 4 1 1 2 5:14 4
5 Mongolia W 4 0 0 4 3:32 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Myanmar W 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Bahrain W 3 0 1 2 2:15 1
4 Turkmenistan W 3 0 1 2 2:17 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Pakistan W 3 2 0 1 4:9 6
3 Indonesia W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guam W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Maldives W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
2 Nepal W 3 2 1 0 20:3 7
3 Laos W 3 1 0 2 2:16 3
4 Sri Lanka W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Cambodia W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Saudi Arabia W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 3 0 0 26:0 9
2 Malaysia W 3 2 0 1 2:6 6
3 Palestine W 3 1 0 2 3:11 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Main)