Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Leca

3 - 1

SC Salgueiros

Our Tip

Match Events

Reis N.

12'

Balde F.

(Penalty)

63'

Muale Nzanza D.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Leca and SC Salgueiros finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Leca

39%

Draws

31%

SC Salgueiros

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Leca Clean Sheet 68%

SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leca	SC Salgueiros
Matches Played	32	31
Wins	18	11
Draws	10	11
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	2.25	0.57
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Leca vs SC Salgueiros

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

SC Salgueiros vs Leca

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

SC Salgueiros vs Leca

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Leca vs SC Salgueiros

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Feb 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Leca vs SC Salgueiros

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Couto A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 41 / 100

SC Salgueiros 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leca SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leca scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SC Salgueiros's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS SC Salgueiros

2.25 Goals Scored 0.57

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14

75% Over 1.5 57%

50% Over 2.5 14%

38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rebordosa	26	17	7	2	41:17	58
2	Leca	26	14	9	3	50:23	51
3	Cinfaes	26	10	10	6	33:21	40
4	Beira Mar	26	10	8	8	30:22	38
5	FC Alpendorada	26	9	11	6	30:22	38
6	Florgrade	26	9	10	7	28:28	37
7	Vila Mea	26	7	13	6	29:28	34
8	Uniao Lamas	26	9	6	11	27:33	33
9	SC Salgueiros	26	7	11	8	20:19	32
10	Anadia	26	7	9	10	27:33	30
11	Aparecida	26	9	4	13	36:51	28
12	GD Resende	26	6	10	10	27:31	28
13	SC Vila Real	26	5	12	9	23:30	27
14	CD Gouveia	26	1	4	21	14:57	7