Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leca vs SC Salgueiros

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Reis N.
12' Event
Balde F.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Muale Nzanza D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Leca and SC Salgueiros finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leca
20%
Draws
44%
SC Salgueiros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Salgueiros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leca Clean Sheet 18%
SC Salgueiros Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leca SC Salgueiros
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs SC Salgueiros
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Leca
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Salgueiros vs Leca
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs SC Salgueiros
0:2
Feb 26, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs SC Salgueiros
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

SC Salgueiros Compare

Top Goalscorer Couto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leca 32 / 100
SC Salgueiros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leca SC Salgueiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leca scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Salgueiros conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Leca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leca VS SC Salgueiros
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
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SC Salgueiros

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Feirense
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
04 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Machico
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)