Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce vs AS Roma

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Mon, Aug 31, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lecce host AS Roma in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Lecce at 1 goals for, 0.88 against; AS Roma at 2.13 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, Lecce have won 0 to AS Roma's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring AS Roma. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lecce
44%
Draws
20%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma have won more games recently than Lecce.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AS Roma have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lecce Clean Sheet 16%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce AS Roma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Lecce
1:0
Jan 6, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Serie A
AS Roma vs Lecce
4:1
Apr 1, 2024 Serie A
Lecce vs AS Roma
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 36 / 100
AS Roma 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lecce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Lecce found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

AS Roma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS AS Roma
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
25 Jul
Lecce
2 : 2
Istra 1961
22 Jul
Lecce
0 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
19 Jul
Haladas
0 : 1
Lecce
24 May
Lecce
1 : 0
Genoa
17 May
Sassuolo
2 : 3
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

AS Roma

(Away)
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
24 May
Verona
0 : 2
AS Roma
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0
Lazio
10 May
Parma
2 : 3
AS Roma
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)