Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U19 vs Fiorentina U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rubino T.
25'
Scuderi G.
28' Event
Burnete R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lecce U19
35%
Draws
20%
Fiorentina U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Lecce U19 haven't matched Fiorentina U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lecce U19 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U19 Fiorentina U19
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.93 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Lecce U19
0:2
Jun 9, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:0
May 13, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Lecce U19
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnete R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubino T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U19 85 / 100
Fiorentina U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U19 Fiorentina U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lecce U19 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Fiorentina U19 conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Lecce U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U19 VS Fiorentina U19
1.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U19

(Home)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

Fiorentina U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)