Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Esteban P.
63'
63'
Esteban P.
AI Match Summary
Lecce U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecce U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Fiorentina U20 at 1.84 per game, Lecce U20 at 1.58.
- Lecce U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lecce U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lecce U20 | Fiorentina U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lecce U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Esteban P.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Fiorentina U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lecce U20 74 / 100
Fiorentina U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lecce U20 Fiorentina U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lecce U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentina U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Lecce U20 scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Lecce U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lecce U20 VS Fiorentina U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lecce U20
(Home) 22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2 Lazio U20
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0 Fiorentina U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1 Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0 Lecce U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2 Verona U20
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2 Lazio U20
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0 Fiorentina U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2 Verona U20
11 Apr
Lecce U20
0 : 2 Genoa U20
22 Mar
Lecce U20
1 : 1 Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 4
Fiorentina U20
(Away) 22 Aug
Sassuolo U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
28 May
Fiorentina U20
2 : 1 Parma U20
24 May
Fiorentina U20
2 : 0 Bologna U20
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0 Fiorentina U20
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Sassuolo U20
1 : 1 Fiorentina U20
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0 Fiorentina U20
03 May
Atalanta U20
1 : 2 Fiorentina U20
18 Apr
Juventus U20
1 : 2 Fiorentina U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 70:48 | 68 |
| 2 | Parma U20 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 3 | Cesena U20 | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | AS Roma U20 | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 59:35 | 63 |
| 5 | Bologna U20 | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:40 | 62 |
| 6 | Inter U20 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:61 | 59 |
| 7 | Atalanta U20 | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 54:47 | 57 |
| 8 | Juventus U20 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Lecce U20 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Genoa U20 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 11 | AC Milan U20 | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 51:49 | 49 |
| 12 | Verona U20 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55:61 | 48 |
| 13 | Torino U20 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:50 | 47 |
| 14 | Monza U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 15 | Lazio U20 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:51 | 47 |
| 16 | Sassuolo U20 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:58 | 44 |
| 17 | Napoli U20 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Cagliari U20 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 49:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Frosinone U20 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 47:76 | 35 |
| 20 | Cremonese U20 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 31:64 | 24 |
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)
