Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Croci F.
19'
Esposito P.
20'
Perrotti A.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 game between Lecce U20 and Fiorentina U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lecce U20
35%
Draws
22%
Fiorentina U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Lecce U20 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U20 Fiorentina U20
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
1:1
May 16, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Fiorentina U20
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esposito P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fiorentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Croci F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U20 56 / 100
Fiorentina U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U20 Fiorentina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lecce U20 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lecce U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U20 VS Fiorentina U20
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Torino U20
3 : 3
Lecce U20
22 Aug
Lecce U20
1 : 2
Lazio U20
Page 1 of 7

Fiorentina U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Verona U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 5 4 1 0 15:5 13
2 Parma U20 5 3 2 0 11:5 11
3 AS Roma U20 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
4 Empoli U20 5 3 2 0 9:6 11
5 Lazio U20 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
6 Bologna U20 5 3 0 2 12:12 9
7 Genoa U20 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 Verona U20 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
9 AC Milan U20 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
10 Cagliari U20 5 2 1 2 8:12 7
11 Cesena U20 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Como U20 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Torino U20 5 1 2 2 12:13 5
14 Lecce U20 5 0 4 1 8:9 4
15 Monza U20 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Sassuolo U20 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Albinoleffe U20 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
18 Fiorentina U20 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
19 Juventus U20 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
20 Atalanta U20 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)