Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lecce U20 vs Genoa U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Odero M.
50'
Kozarac H.
51'
Sub
Rashidi W. In: Calame M.
Out: Rashidi W.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between Lecce U20 and Genoa U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genoa U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lecce U20
40%
Draws
29%
Genoa U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce U20 come out ahead of Genoa U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Genoa U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lecce U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce U20 Genoa U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Genoa U20
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primavera 1
Lecce U20 vs Genoa U20
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 Primavera 1
Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Genoa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Odero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zulevic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce U20 31 / 100
Genoa U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce U20 Genoa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Lecce U20 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Lecce U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lecce U20 VS Genoa U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce U20

(Home)
16 May
Lecce U20
2 : 0
Fiorentina U20
10 May
Napoli U20
1 : 1
Lecce U20
01 May
Cagliari U20
2 : 0
Lecce U20
26 Apr
Lecce U20
3 : 2
Verona U20
19 Apr
Inter U20
1 : 0
Lecce U20
Page 1 of 7

Genoa U20

(Away)
15 May
Genoa U20
1 : 2
Inter U20
09 May
Frosinone U20
2 : 2
Genoa U20
02 May
Genoa U20
3 : 5
Cesena U20
27 Apr
Bologna U20
1 : 0
Genoa U20
20 Apr
Genoa U20
4 : 2
Torino U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiorentina U20381911870:4868
2Parma U20381911859:3868
3Cesena U20381910970:5267
4AS Roma U20381712959:3563
5Bologna U203817111054:4062
6Inter U203816111170:6159
7Atalanta U20381415954:4757
8Juventus U203814131152:4855
9Lecce U203814121254:5354
10Genoa U203812141249:5250
11AC Milan U203811161151:4949
12Verona U203812121455:6148
13Torino U203811141350:5047
14Monza U203812111537:4547
15Lazio U203812111544:5147
16Sassuolo U203810141451:5844
17Napoli U203810101839:5540
18Cagliari U20381091949:6239
19Frosinone U20388111947:7635
20Cremonese U2038662631:6424
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2026/2027 (Main)