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Lecce vs Bistrica

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Esteban P.
28' Event
Vrdoljak M.
38' Event
Maleh Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lecce and Bistrica finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lecce
15%
Draws
42%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lecce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bistrica are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lecce Clean Sheet 16%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Bistrica
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Bistrica
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Onyemachi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrdoljak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 23 / 100
Bistrica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Bistrica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Bistrica registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lecce's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Bistrica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
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Bistrica

(Away)
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
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