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Lecce vs Carrarese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Helgason T. J.
46'
Sub
Tete Morente In: Ndri K.
Out: Tete Morente
46'
Sub
Coulibaly L. In: Kaba M.
Out: Coulibaly L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Lecce and Carrarese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lecce
15%
Draws
12%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecce come out ahead of Carrarese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lecce a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lecce Clean Sheet 20%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lecce Carrarese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Lecce vs Carrarese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lecce Compare

Top Goalscorer Helgason T. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lecce 36 / 100
Carrarese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lecce Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrarese has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Carrarese lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lecce scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lecce VS Carrarese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lecce

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
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Carrarese

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
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