Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gmur T.
32' Event
Delikat K.
90' Event
Noski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lech Poznan II and Swinoujscie finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech Poznan II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lech Poznan II
20%
Draws
38%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lech Poznan II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Swinoujscie haven't matched Lech Poznan II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lech Poznan II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lech Poznan II have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 15%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Swinoujscie
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lech Poznan II
1:2
May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Swinoujscie
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lech Poznan II
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Gmur T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delikat K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Paczuk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 41 / 100
Swinoujscie 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Swinoujscie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lech Poznan II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Swinoujscie's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Swinoujscie
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
25 Jul
KKS Kalisz
2 : 2
Lech Poznan II
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
17 May
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

Swinoujscie

(Away)
25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)