Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Stankiewicz I.
90' Event
Szymczak W.

AI Match Summary

Lech Poznan II in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lech Poznan II
39%
Draws
30%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Lech Poznan II.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Unia Swarzedz
2:0
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
1:4
Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Unia Swarzedz
3:1
Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lech Poznan II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stankiewicz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szymczak W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 30 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Unia Swarzedz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lech Poznan II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Lech Poznan II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Unia Swarzedz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
17 May
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Zawisza
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
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Unia Swarzedz

(Away)
17 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 7
Kleczew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Lipno Steszew
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
23 May
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 1
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)