Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium, Wronki
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Stankiewicz I.
19' Event
Kona M.
33'
Dudek S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lech Poznan II and Zawisza finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lech Poznan II
35%
Draws
34%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Zawisza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zawisza's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zawisza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Zawisza
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza
2:4
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Lech Poznan II
3:1
May 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Lech Poznan II
5:0
Oct 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stankiewicz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szymczak W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rak S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 22 / 100
Zawisza 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Zawisza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zawisza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech Poznan II found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Lech Poznan II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Zawisza conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Zawisza
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech Poznan II

(Home)
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
29 Aug
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Grom Nowy Staw
23 Aug
Gedania Gdansk
2 : 3
Lech Poznan II
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Zawisza

(Away)
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 1
Zawisza
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)