Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Amica Wronki Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Stankiewicz I.
19' Event
Kona M.
33'
Dudek S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Lech Poznan II and Zawisza finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lech Poznan II
6%
Draws
90%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zawisza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zawisza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zawisza here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech Poznan II Zawisza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza
2:4
Nov 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Lech Poznan II
3:1
May 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Lech Poznan II
5:0
Oct 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Zawisza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stankiewicz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szymczak W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rak S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kona M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech Poznan II 10 / 100
Zawisza 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech Poznan II Zawisza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Lech Poznan II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Zawisza has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lech Poznan II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech Poznan II VS Zawisza
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415