Sport Picks
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Poznan, Poznań 
Match Events
43'
43'
Rodriguez P.
Assist: Pereira J.
45'
45'
Kobayashi Y.
Assist: Vital B.
46'
46'
Sub
Kobayashi Y. In: Montoia G.
Out: Kobayashi Y.
AI Match Summary
Lech Poznan in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lech Poznan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lech Poznan have won more games recently than Jagiellonia.
- Win probability leans Lech Poznan's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lech Poznan | Jagiellonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lech Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gumny R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Jagiellonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kobayashi Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lech Poznan 47 / 100
Jagiellonia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lech Poznan Jagiellonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lech Poznan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lech Poznan scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Jagiellonia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Lech Poznan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lech Poznan VS Jagiellonia
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lech Poznan
(Home) 10 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 4 Lech Poznan
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1 Radomiak Radom
06 Sept
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 Rakow Czestochowa
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
20 Aug
Lech Poznan
7 : 0 Thun
Page 1 of 4
Jagiellonia
(Away) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
30 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 5 Jagiellonia
27 Aug
Iberia 1999
1 : 2 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 14 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
