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Lech-UAM Poznan II W vs Ostrovia Ostrow W

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Women 2023/2024
Sat, Nov 25, 2023
2 - 4
01:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Ostrovia Ostrow W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
44%
Draws
20%
Ostrovia Ostrow W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostrovia Ostrow W come out ahead of Lech-UAM Poznan II W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Ostrovia Ostrow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ostrovia Ostrow W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lech-UAM Poznan II W Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovia Ostrow W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech-UAM Poznan II W Ostrovia Ostrow W
Matches Played 4 15
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.5 4.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 4.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan II W vs Ostrovia Ostrow W
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan II W 36 / 100
Ostrovia Ostrow W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech-UAM Poznan II W Ostrovia Ostrow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovia Ostrow W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Lech-UAM Poznan II W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Difficult form: Ostrovia Ostrow W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan II W VS Ostrovia Ostrow W
1.5 Goals Scored 4.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech-UAM Poznan II W

(Home)
18 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
1 : 4
Pogon Tczew W
16 Oct
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
0 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
25 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
2 : 4
Ostrovia Ostrow W
08 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
3 : 0
Grodzisk Wielkopolski W

Ostrovia Ostrow W

(Away)
18 Oct
Medyk Konin II W
3 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow W
16 Nov
Ostrovia Ostrow W
0 : 2
Unia Lublin W
17 Oct
KKP Warszawa II W
1 : 2
Ostrovia Ostrow W
17 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow W
0 : 7
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
25 Nov
Lech-UAM Poznan II W
2 : 4
Ostrovia Ostrow W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
UJ Krakow II W3
ROW Rybnik W5
Pogon Tczew W0
UKS SMS Lodz W6
Praga Warszawa W4
Wisla Plock W1
Forty Piatnica W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W15
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk II W4
Biedrzychowice II W3
KSP Kielce W0
Unia Lublin W3
Wanda Krakow W-
TBD-
Gorzno W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W2
Trojka Staszkowka II W7
Medyk Konin II W1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W2
Sleza Wroclaw W1
GKS Katowice W4
Biedrzychowice W0
Pogon Szczecin W3
Victoria Niemcz W2
UW Warszawa W1
Loczki Wyszkow W1
Wodzislaw Slaski W2
LFA Szczecin W0
Medyk Konin W3
Wlokniarz Bialystok W0
Leczna W14
R. Rzeszow II W1
Lubartow W0
Pabianice II W2
Legia W0
MKS Myszkow W4
Zabkovia Zabki W2
Kostrzyn nad Odra W0
Bielawianka Bielawa W2
Lech-UAM Poznan II W3
Grodzisk Wielkopolski W0
Ostrovia Ostrow W8
Trojka Staszkowka W0
WAP Wloclawek W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W6
GKS Katowice II W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Zorza Pegow W3
Kolbuszowa Dolna W0
Iskra Krzemien W0
KKP Bydgoszcz W12
R. Rzeszow W3
UJ Krakow W2
Pabianice W0
Checz Gdynia W15
Dab Zabierzow W0
Stare Oborzyska W2
Olsztyn W1
Skra Czestochowa W5
Myslenice W0
Czworka Radom W2
Czarni Sosnowiec II W1
Slask Wroclaw W3
1/16-finals
ROW Rybnik W0
UKS SMS Lodz W3
Praga Warszawa W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W17
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk II W2
Unia Lublin W1
Wanda Krakow W2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W11
Trojka Staszkowka II W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W3
GKS Katowice W4
Pogon Szczecin W1
Victoria Niemcz W8
Wodzislaw Slaski W1
Medyk Konin W2
Leczna W5
R. Rzeszow II W3
Pabianice II W2
MKS Myszkow W1
Bielawianka Bielawa W3
Lech-UAM Poznan II W2
Ostrovia Ostrow W4
Lech-UAM Poznan W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W2
Zorza Pegow W2
KKP Bydgoszcz W1
R. Rzeszow W3
Checz Gdynia W1
Stare Oborzyska W3
Skra Czestochowa W2
Czworka Radom W0
Slask Wroclaw W3
1/8-finals
UKS SMS Lodz W4
Czarni Sosnowiec W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk II W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W7
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W1
GKS Katowice W5
Victoria Niemcz W0
Leczna W13
R. Rzeszow II W1
Bielawianka Bielawa W2
Ostrovia Ostrow W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W7
Zorza Pegow W0
R. Rzeszow W1
Stare Oborzyska W0
Slask Wroclaw W7
Quarter-finals
UKS SMS Lodz W1
Stomilanki Olsztyn W0
GKS Katowice W2
Leczna W1
Bielawianka Bielawa W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W1
R. Rzeszow W0
Slask Wroclaw W3
Semi-finals
UKS SMS Lodz W0
GKS Katowice W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W1
Slask Wroclaw W2
Final
GKS Katowice W3
Slask Wroclaw W0