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Lech-UAM Poznan W vs UJ Krakow W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Prochwicz L.
23' Event
Wojtkowiak K.
36' Event
Wojciechowska Z.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Lech-UAM Poznan W and UJ Krakow W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech-UAM Poznan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
6%
Draws
90%
UJ Krakow W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UJ Krakow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lech-UAM Poznan W come out ahead of UJ Krakow W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UJ Krakow W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 20%
UJ Krakow W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech-UAM Poznan W UJ Krakow W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs UJ Krakow W
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prochwicz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wojtkowiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

UJ Krakow W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan W 10 / 100
UJ Krakow W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech-UAM Poznan W UJ Krakow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UJK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: UJ Krakow W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Lech-UAM Poznan W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan W VS UJ Krakow W
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech-UAM Poznan W

(Home)
11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
20 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 4
GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1
UKS SMS Lodz W
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UJ Krakow W

(Away)
17 Jul
UJ Krakow W
8 : 0
Czworka Radom W
30 May
UJ Krakow W
4 : 0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
22 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
0 : 1
UJ Krakow W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 0
UJ Krakow W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)