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Lech-UAM Poznan W vs UJ Krakow W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Prochwicz L.
23' Event
Wojtkowiak K.
36' Event
Wojciechowska Z.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Lech-UAM Poznan W and UJ Krakow W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lech-UAM Poznan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
20%
Draws
51%
UJ Krakow W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UJ Krakow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UJ Krakow W come out ahead of Lech-UAM Poznan W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 20%
UJ Krakow W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lech-UAM Poznan W UJ Krakow W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs UJ Krakow W
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prochwicz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wojtkowiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

UJ Krakow W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lech-UAM Poznan W 32 / 100
UJ Krakow W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lech-UAM Poznan W UJ Krakow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UJ Krakow W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lech-UAM Poznan W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: UJ Krakow W conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Lech-UAM Poznan W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lech-UAM Poznan W VS UJ Krakow W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lech-UAM Poznan W

(Home)
27 Sept
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
22 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 3
Leczna W
15 Aug
Legia W
4 : 3
Lech-UAM Poznan W
08 Aug
Lech-UAM Poznan W
0 : 5
GKS Katowice W
01 Aug
Sleza Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Lech-UAM Poznan W
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UJ Krakow W

(Away)
27 Sept
Czarni Sosnowiec W
2 : 0
UJ Krakow W
22 Aug
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
1 : 1
UJ Krakow W
16 Aug
UJ Krakow W
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin W
08 Aug
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 2
UJ Krakow W
02 Aug
UJ Krakow W
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czarni Sosnowiec W 22 18 2 2 68:18 56
2 Pogon Szczecin W 22 16 3 3 60:18 51
3 GKS Katowice W 22 15 3 4 51:26 48
4 Leczna W 22 15 2 5 49:20 47
5 UKS SMS Lodz W 22 8 5 9 35:35 29
6 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W 22 8 4 10 29:34 28
7 Slask Wroclaw W 22 8 2 12 39:33 26
8 Lech-UAM Poznan W 22 7 5 10 29:46 26
9 UJ Krakow W 22 6 6 10 26:37 24
10 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 22 7 2 13 24:45 23
11 Stomilanki Olsztyn W 22 3 2 17 23:70 11
12 Pogon Tczew W 22 1 4 17 15:66 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)