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Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadion Gdańskiego Ośrodka Sportu, Gdansk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Glogowski M.
32' Event
Zbiciak B.
60' Event
Viunnyk B.

AI Match Summary

Lechia Gdansk in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lechia Gdansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lechia Gdansk
15%
Draws
31%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ol. Grudziadz have won more games recently than Lechia Gdansk.
  • Model gives Lechia Gdansk a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lechia Gdansk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 68%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lechia Gdansk Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.62 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:3
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1
Jan 19, 2021 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
9:1
Nov 17, 2020 Polish Cup
Ol. Grudziadz vs Lechia Gdansk
0:1
Jun 28, 2014 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobcek T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Glogowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbiciak B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 95 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lechia Gdansk Ol. Grudziadz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Lechia Gdansk found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ol. Grudziadz conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Lechia Gdansk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Ol. Grudziadz
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lechia Gdansk

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4
Lechia Gdansk
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Ol. Grudziadz

(Away)
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
29 Aug
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
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