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Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
5' Event
Glogowski M.
16' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lechia Gdansk and Ol. Grudziadz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ol. Grudziadz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lechia Gdansk
6%
Draws
90%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ol. Grudziadz come out ahead of Lechia Gdansk on wins alone.
  • Ol. Grudziadz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lechia Gdansk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lechia Gdansk Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:3
Jul 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
4:1
Jan 19, 2021 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
9:1
Nov 17, 2020 Polish Cup
Ol. Grudziadz vs Lechia Gdansk
0:1
Jun 28, 2014 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glogowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 10 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lechia Gdansk Ol. Grudziadz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Ol. Grudziadz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Ol. Grudziadz's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Ol. Grudziadz
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%