Sport Picks
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk 
Match Events
34'
34'
Mis K.
46'
46'
Sub
Demianiuk C. In: Marzec M.
Out: Demianiuk C.
51'
51'
Shakh A.
Assist: Dodaj K.
AI Match Summary
Lechia Gdansk in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lechia Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lechia Gdansk lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Siedlce.
- Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 17%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce
1:0
Jan 28, 2018 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lechia Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Shakh A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lechia Gdansk 66 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lechia Gdansk Pogon Siedlce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lechia Gdansk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Lechia Gdansk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lechia Gdansk VS Pogon Siedlce
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lechia Gdansk
(Home) 03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
31 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Warta Poznan
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 4
Pogon Siedlce
(Away) 20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
07 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
