Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan

Poland Poland

Division 1 Polsat Plus Arena
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lechia Gdansk host Warta Poznan in the Division 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Lechia Gdansk at 1 goals for, 2.75 against; Warta Poznan at 1.63 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Lechia Gdansk slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2023, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.19) point toward Warta Poznan. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lechia Gdansk
17%
Draws
70%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warta Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Lechia Gdansk.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Warta Poznan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lechia Gdansk Warta Poznan
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
2:0
Oct 30, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk
0:2
Feb 5, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Warta Poznan
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lechia Gdansk 14 / 100
Warta Poznan 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lechia Gdansk Warta Poznan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lechia Gdansk scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Warta Poznan conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Warta Poznan registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lechia Gdansk VS Warta Poznan
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arka Gdynia00000:00
2LKS Lodz00000:00
3Lechia Gdansk00000:00
4Odra Opole00000:00
5Podbeskidzie00000:00
6Warta Poznan00000:00
7Ruch Chorzow00000:00
8Polonia Bytom00000:00
9Polonia Warszawa00000:00
10Legnica00000:00
11Termalica Bruk-Bet00000:00
12S. Rzeszow00000:00
13Puszcza00000:00
14Chrobry Glogow00000:00
15Pogon Siedlce00000:00
16Unia Skierniewice00000:00
17Stal Mielec00000:00
18Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki00000:00