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Leeds U21 vs Dortmund II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Azhil A.
Assist: Etcibasi T.
33' Event
Albert M.
Assist: Drakas B.
84' Event
Etcibasi T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Dortmund II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leeds U21
30%
Draws
37%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dortmund II come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Dortmund II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dortmund II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U21 Dortmund II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Leeds U21 vs Dortmund II
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dortmund II Compare

Top Goalscorer Azhil A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U21 30 / 100
Dortmund II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U21 Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dortmund II let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leeds U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U21 VS Dortmund II
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6

Dortmund II

(Away)
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0
Dortmund II
01 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 1
Schalke II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)