Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leeds U21 vs Stockport U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2024/2025 LNER Community Stadium, York
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Adshead D.
Assist: Gardner S.
64' Event
Chadwick-Chaplin R.
67' Event
Chilokoa-Mullen J.
Assist: Chadwick-Chaplin R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Leeds U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Leeds U21
15%
Draws
48%
Stockport U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stockport U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leeds U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Leeds U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Stockport U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U21 Stockport U21
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.4 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2024 Premier League Cup
Stockport U21 vs Leeds U21
4:2
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League Cup
Leeds U21 vs Stockport U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chadwick-Chaplin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chilokoa-Mullen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Stockport U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adshead D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U21 34 / 100
Stockport U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U21 Stockport U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stockport U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 15 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Leeds U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Leeds U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U21 VS Stockport U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.67
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Middlesbrough U21
4 : 4
Leeds U21
08 Sept
Solihull Moors
2 : 3
Leeds U21
04 Sept
Charlton U21
1 : 0
Leeds U21
30 Aug
Liverpool U21
2 : 1
Leeds U21
23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

Stockport U21

(Away)
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
26 Aug
Stockport U21
1 : 2
Charlton U21
04 Mar
Stockport U21
3 : 1
Burnley U21
22 Dec
Stockport U21
2 : 1
Cardiff U21
05 Dec
Cardiff U21
7 : 2
Stockport U21
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U21 6 5 1 0 14:5 16
2 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
3 Bristol City U21 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
4 Norwich U21 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
2 Leicester U21 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Coventry U21 6 1 2 3 4:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
2 Southampton U21 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
3 Swansea U21 6 2 2 2 14:9 8
4 Fleetwood Town U21 6 2 0 4 8:18 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 5 0 1 17:7 15
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Huddersfield U21 6 1 0 5 7:24 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
3 Colchester U21 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 9:17 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
2 Ipswich U21 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
3 Everton U21 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
4 Watford U21 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 5 1 0 18:3 16
2 Luton U21 6 3 1 2 10:13 10
3 Brighton U21 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
4 Reading U21 6 0 1 5 7:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 Stockport U21 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
3 Leeds U21 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
4 Birmingham U21 6 1 1 4 8:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 6 4 1 1 19:12 13
2 Brentford U21 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
3 Derby U21 6 3 0 3 12:12 9
4 Bournemouth U21 6 1 0 5 7:16 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams