Sport Picks
Leeds U23 vs Chelsea U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Thorp Arch, Leeds 
Match Events
11'
11'
Mbuyamba X.
Assist: McEachran G.
35'
35'
Mbuyamba X.
Assist: Baker L.
41'
41'
Roberts T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Chelsea U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelsea U23 have won more games recently than Leeds U23.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leeds U23 | Chelsea U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2022 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Leeds U23
1:0
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Chelsea U23
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leeds U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chelsea U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbuyamba X.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leeds U23 32 / 100
Chelsea U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leeds U23 Chelsea U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds U23 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Chelsea U23 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Chelsea U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leeds U23 VS Chelsea U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds U23
(Home) 29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1 Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3 Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1 Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0 Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3 Manchester City U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0 Crystal Palace U23
15 Mar
Leeds U23
3 : 0 Manchester United U23
07 Feb
Leeds U23
3 : 0 Liverpool U23
17 Jan
Leeds U23
2 : 0 Derby U23
Page 1 of 3
Chelsea U23
(Away) 08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3 Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0 Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0 Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3 Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0 Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0 Chelsea U23
02 Apr
Liverpool U23
2 : 2 Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
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League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
