Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leeds U23 vs Crystal Palace U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Elland Road, Leeds
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Summerville C.
Assist: McKinstry S.
32'
Jenkins J.
38'
Sub
Gelhardt J. In: Gray A.
Out: Gelhardt J.

AI Match Summary

Leeds U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leeds U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leeds U23
20%
Draws
51%
Crystal Palace U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crystal Palace U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crystal Palace U23 lately — more wins on the board than Leeds U23.
  • Leeds U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Crystal Palace U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Crystal Palace U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.61 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Crystal Palace U23
4:0
Aug 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U23 vs Leeds U23
1:3
Mar 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Crystal Palace U23 vs Leeds U23
2:0
Nov 1, 2020 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Crystal Palace U23
4:1
Sep 9, 2019 Professional Development League
Crystal Palace U23 vs Leeds U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Summerville C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader McKinstry S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Crystal Palace U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 36 / 100
Crystal Palace U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Crystal Palace U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Crystal Palace U23 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leeds U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Crystal Palace U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

Crystal Palace U23

(Away)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2
Leicester U23
25 Apr
Blackburn U23
2 : 1
Crystal Palace U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
19 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)