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Leeds U23 vs Sunderland U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Summerville C.
21' Event
Summerville C.
35' Event
Summerville C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leeds U23
20%
Draws
40%
Sunderland U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds U23 average 1.57 goals a game right now, well clear of Sunderland U23's 1.27.
  • Win probability leans Leeds U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Sunderland U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds U23 Sunderland U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2022 Premier League Cup
Leeds U23 vs Sunderland U23
3:3
Oct 10, 2021 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U23 vs Leeds U23
2:1
Feb 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Sunderland U23
2:0
Sep 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Sunderland U23 vs Leeds U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Summerville C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sunderland U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunne C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelly C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds U23 49 / 100
Sunderland U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds U23 Sunderland U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leeds U23 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Sunderland U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Sunderland U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds U23 VS Sunderland U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland U23

(Away)
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Sunderland U23
2 : 1
Birmingham U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Norwich U23
1 : 1
Sunderland U23
21 Mar
Sunderland U23
0 : 2
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)