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Leeds vs Tottenham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Elland Road, Leeds
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leeds host Tottenham in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Leeds have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Tottenham's 1.43 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Leeds have won 0 to Tottenham's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Leeds. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leeds
30%
Draws
41%
Tottenham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tottenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leeds lately — more wins on the board than Tottenham.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tottenham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Leeds Clean Sheet 68%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leeds Tottenham
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Leeds
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Leeds vs Tottenham
1:2
May 28, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs Tottenham
1:4
Nov 12, 2022 Premier League
Tottenham vs Leeds
4:3
Feb 26, 2022 Premier League
Leeds vs Tottenham
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leeds 41 / 100
Tottenham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leeds Tottenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Leeds scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Tottenham let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Leeds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leeds VS Tottenham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leeds

(Home)
18 Oct
Leeds
1 : 1
Manchester United
10 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 1
Leeds
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3
Leeds
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham

(Away)
24 Oct
Chelsea
0 : 2
Tottenham
19 Oct
Tottenham
3 : 1
Coventry
10 Oct
Manchester United
1 : 1
Tottenham
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 7 0 1 20:9 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13:5 21
3 Brighton 7 5 1 1 23:5 16
4 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
5 Liverpool 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
6 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
7 Brentford 7 2 4 1 13:8 10
8 Leeds 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
9 Everton 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
10 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
11 Hull City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
13 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Newcastle Utd 7 2 2 3 10:14 8
15 Manchester United 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
16 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 9:17 7
17 Bournemouth 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
18 Nottingham 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
20 Sunderland 7 1 1 5 6:14 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)