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Leek Town vs Bootle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Leek Town have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Bootle's 1.73 scored and 1.69 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 2.75) back Leek Town to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Leek Town
20%
Draws
36%
Bootle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Bootle haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bootle a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Leek Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%
Bootle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town Bootle
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 14 / 100
Bootle 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town Bootle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bootle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Bootle conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Leek Town went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bootle lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS Bootle
2.38 Goals Scored 3.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Bootle

(Away)
26 Sept
Bootle
5 : 0
AFC Emley
12 Sept
Silsden
1 : 5
Bootle
29 Aug
Liversedge
0 : 5
Bootle
31 Jul
Marine
2 : 0
Bootle
25 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Bootle
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
Bury FC -
Prescot Cables -
Workington -
Cleethorpes -
Leek Town -
Bootle -
Ashton United -
Redcar Athletic -
Bridlington Town -
Curzon Ashton -
Avro -
Hyde -
Redditch -
Gloucester City -
Mickleover -
Alfreton -
Anstey Nomads -
Bromsgrove -
Evesham -
Halesowen -
Loughborough Students -
Stourbridge -
Bourne -
Banbury -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Egham Town -
Uxbridge -
Erith Town -
Burgess Hill -
Leatherhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dartford -
Three Bridges -
Whitehawk -
St. Albans -
Aveley -
Carshalton -
Enfield Town -
Hanworth Villa -
Needham Market -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hastings -
Waltham Abbey -
Berkhamsted Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Faversham -
Newmarket -
Deal Town -
Hashtag -
Takeley -
Chertsey Town -
Weymouth -
Sholing -
Didcot -
Poole Town -
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