Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leek Town vs Parkgate

England England

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leek Town in this FA Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Leek Town
35%
Draws
9%
Parkgate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Leek Town have won more games recently than Parkgate.
  • Model gives Leek Town a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Leek Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leek Town, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 20%
Parkgate Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town Parkgate
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 12 1
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2018 FA Cup
Leek Town vs Parkgate
3:0
Sep 12, 2018 FA Cup
Parkgate vs Leek Town
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 76 / 100
Parkgate 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town Parkgate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parkgate has conceded goals in 91% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Leek Town scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Leek Town remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS Parkgate
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
11 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 1
Leek Town
08 Aug
Leek Town
1 : 2
Whitby
31 Jul
Leek Town
1 : 1
Runcorn Linnets
25 Jul
Stalybridge
1 : 1
Leek Town
21 Jul
Kidsgrove Athletic
0 : 1
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

Parkgate

(Away)
10 Jul
Parkgate
0 : 1
Rotherham
22 Jul
Swallownest
1 : 1
Parkgate
19 Jul
Parkgate
1 : 3
Retford United
15 Jul
Armthorpe Welfare
3 : 2
Parkgate
04 Jul
Parkgate
0 : 3
Rotherham
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guiseley -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 1
Staveley Miners 3
Bamber Bridge 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Quorn 0
Atherstone 1
Leamington -
TBD -
Highgate United 1
Stourbridge 2
Warrington Town 4
Burscough 0
FC Congleton Town 0
Consett 1
Bedford 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley -
TBD -
Parkgate 2
Leek Town 5
Boston United -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 6
Newcastle Benfield 4
Kendal 3
Knaresborough Town 7
Mossley AFC 5
Clitheroe 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport -
TBD -
FC Guisborough Town 0
Farsley 4
Radcliffe 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
King’s Lynn 9
Histon 2
Grimsby Borough 1
Stafford 2
Trafford 2
Lancaster 0
TBD -
Ashton United -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Worksop 2
Nantwich 5
Halesowen 2
Matlock 1
Chasetown 3
Gainsborough 9
St Ives Town 3
Saffron 1
Daventry 0
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 3
Morpeth 2
TBD -
York City -
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
North Ferriby United 1
Runcorn Town 2
Irlam 3
City Of Liverpool 5
Squires Gate 1
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Garforth 1
South Shields 5
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 0
Hertford Town 0
Corby 2
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Whitley Bay 1
Whitby 0
TBD -
Altrincham -
Marine 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Maltby 1
Frickley 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 5
Bottesford Town 0
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Colne 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Rushall 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Anstey Nomads 2
Oadby Town 1
Haughmond FC 0
Mickleover 6
Coalville Town 2
Racing Club Warwick 1
Barwell 2
Buxton 5
Romulus 4
Belper Town 0
Stortford 1
Neots 2
Woking -
TBD -
Horsham YMCA 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Marlow 2
Aylesbury United 1
Chalfont St Peter 3
Kempston 4
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Chesham 2
Biggleswade Town 1
TBD -
Welling -
Hitchin 3
Godmanchester Rovers 1
Wingate & Finchley 1
Didcot 2
Leiston 6
Cheshunt 4
Kingstonian 1
Hastings 2
Hanwell Town 2
Potters 1
Ware 0
Lowestoft 1
FC Haverhill Rovers 2
Long Melford 1
Herne Bay 0
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Woodbridge 1
Swindon Supermarine 7
Lancing 2
Phoenix Sports 5
Phoenix Sports -
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Brantham 1
Tonbridge 2
Hythe 0
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Chipping Sodbury Town 0
Paulton Rovers 1
Basingstoke 3
Sholing 1
Hamworthy United 0
TBD -
Slough Town -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Takeley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 5
Gosport Borough 1
Sittingbourne 0
Sevenoaks 2
Ramsgate 4
Dartford -
TBD -
Croydon Athletic 0
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 4
Merstham 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Yate 2
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 3
Beckenham Town 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Coggeshall Town 3
Lewes 4
Farnborough 3
Northwood 1
Kings Langley 3
Banbury 3
Weymouth 2
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 3
Cray Wanderers 2
Barton 0
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 4
Wimborne 1
Bridport 0
Tiverton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Street 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Leverstock Green 1
Hadley 0
Hartley Wintney 0
Dorking Wanderers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Tamworth 0
Redditch 2
Rugby 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Stourport 1
Romford 1
Kettering 4
Torquay -
TBD -
Lydney Town 3
Lymington 4
Egham Town 1
Staines 0
Cambridge City 3
Brightlingsea 4
Cirencester 7
AFC Stoneham 0
Buckland 0
Binfield 3
Merthyr Town 4
Melksham 1
Frome Town 2
Winchester City 3
Billericay -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
Pagham 0
Whitehawk 2
St. Albans -
Whyteleafe -
Whyteleafe 2
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 3
Westbury United 0
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Taunton Town 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 1
Harrow Borough 0
Fleet Town 1
East Grinstead Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 0
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Great Wakering 3
Wantage 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Thamesmead 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Faversham 1
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 3
Brentwood 2
Spelthorne Sports 1
Erith Town 5
Bognor Regis 5
Whitstable Town 0
Royston Town 2
Sudbury 3
Horsham FC 6
Corinthian 1
Newmarket 0
Heybridge 2
Cinderford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 0
Shaftesbury Town 0
Poole Town 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Horndean 2
Margate 3
Romania 4
Soham 0
Walthamstow FC 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Quarter-finals
Guiseley 4
Staveley Miners 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Cleethorpes 8
Kidderminster 5
Atherstone 0
Leamington 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 5
Consett 3
Bedford 1
Telford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Leek Town 0
Boston United 0
Peterborough Sports 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 4
Knaresborough Town 1
Mossley AFC 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 3
Farsley 0
Radcliffe 1
Curzon Ashton 2
King’s Lynn 3
Stafford 1
Trafford 0
Ashton United 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Nantwich 3
Halesowen 0
Gainsborough 3
St Ives Town 3
Grantham Town 1
Ashton Athletic 0
York City 5
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 2
Irlam 1
City Of Liverpool 0
Chester 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 2
South Shields 1
Alvechurch 1
Corby 4
Bradford PA 1
Darlington FC 0
Whitley Bay 0
Altrincham 5
Marine 1
Frickley 0
Nuneaton 1
Brackley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
Spennymoor 1
Colne 0
United of Manchester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Anstey Nomads 1
Mickleover 7
Coalville Town 4
Buxton 1
Romulus 3
Neots 4
Woking 4
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Hereford 4
Truro 3
Chesham 1
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Didcot 1
Leiston 3
Hastings 4
Hanwell Town 1
Lowestoft 0
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Leatherhead 6
Chippenham Town 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
Lancing 1
Hendon 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 1
Brantham 0
Tonbridge 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Basingstoke 2
Sholing 2
Slough Town 5
Hemel Hempstead 6
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Gosport Borough 2
Ramsgate 3
Dartford 3
Uckfield Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Oxford City 5
Weston-super-Mare 5
Salisbury 4
Walton Casuals 0
Coggeshall Town 2
Lewes 3
Kings Langley 2
Banbury 0
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 5
Needham Market 4
Dorchester 0
Tiverton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 3
Plymouth Parkway 1
Leverstock Green 2
Dorking Wanderers 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 3
Rugby 1
AFC Mansfield 1
Kettering 2
Torquay 7
Lymington 0
Egham Town 4
Brightlingsea 5
Cirencester 3
Binfield 0
Merthyr Town 1
Winchester City 4
Billericay 4
Burnham FC 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
St. Albans 4
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Bitton 0
Taunton Town 4
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Burgess Hill 0
Hampton & Richmond 3
Wealdstone 2
Great Wakering 0
Wantage 3
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moneyfields 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Chelmsford 1
Worthing FC 2
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Erith Town 0
Bognor Regis 3
Sudbury 4
Horsham FC 4
Heybridge 3
Cinderford Town 0
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Margate 0
Romania 0
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Semi-finals
Guiseley 4
Cleethorpes 3
Kidderminster 2
Stourbridge 3
Warrington Town 2
Telford 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Chorley 3
Peterborough Sports 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Workington 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Southport 2
Curzon Ashton 1
King’s Lynn 0
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gainsborough 1
St Ives Town 0
York City 3
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Dunston 4
Chester 3
TBD -
Gateshead -
Stockport County 3
Corby 0
Bradford PA 2
Altrincham 4
Marine 3
Brackley 2
TBD -
Salford -
Witton Albion 2
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Alfreton 2
Mickleover 1
Coalville Town 5
Neots 6
Woking 3
Kempston 2
Hereford 0
Welling 2
Hitchin 2
Hastings 0
Hanwell Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 4
Hendon 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Slough Town 6
Hemel Hempstead 5
Ramsgate 0
Dartford 1
Oxford City 4
Weston-super-Mare 1
Coggeshall Town 0
Lewes 0
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Metropolitan Police 4
Tiverton 3
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Gloucester City 6
Dorking Wanderers 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Hednesford 0
Kettering 4
Torquay 3
Brightlingsea 0
Cirencester 0
Winchester City 3
Billericay 9
Whitehawk 1
St. Albans 2
Taunton Town 5
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 2
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Moneyfields 2
Worthing FC 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Haringey Borough 2
Sudbury 1
Horsham FC 2
Poole Town 3
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Concord Rangers 2
Beaconsfield Town 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stage 5
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1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Guiseley 3
Stourbridge 1
Warrington Town 2
Halifax 4
Chorley 3
Barrow 2
Hartlepool 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
AFC Fylde 1
Chesterfield 3
Southport 2
Ashton United 1
Blyth Spartans 0
York City 1
Harrogate 0
Wrexham 2
Dunston 0
Gateshead 4
Stockport County 2
Altrincham 0
Marine 1
Salford 2
Witton Albion 0
Solihull Moors 2
Alfreton 4
Neots 0
Woking 1
Welling 0
Hitchin 3
Leatherhead 2
Chippenham Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Slough Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Oxford City 6
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 3
Dagenham & Red. 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Gloucester City 0
Bromley 1
Aldershot 2
Kettering 0
Torquay 4
Winchester City 1
Billericay 3
Taunton Town 2
Eastleigh 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Wealdstone 1
Sutton 2
Ebbsfleet 4
Worthing FC 0
Maidstone 2
Leyton Orient 0
Haringey Borough 2
Poole Town 1
Barnet 4
Braintree 2
Concord Rangers 0
Dover Ath. 1