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Leek Town vs Whitby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Panter A.
48' Event
Rose S.
68' Event
Hickman C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Leek Town and Whitby finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Whitby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leek Town
30%
Draws
27%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Whitby haven't matched Leek Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leek Town's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 68%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leek Town Whitby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Whitby
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Whitby
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Leek Town
0:3
Feb 15, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Leek Town vs Whitby
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs Leek Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Panter A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Whitby Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hickman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leek Town 86 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leek Town Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leek Town found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Leek Town has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Whitby has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Leek Town VS Whitby
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leek Town

(Home)
17 Oct
Lancaster
1 : 2
Leek Town
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Whitby

(Away)
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6
Gainsborough
29 Sept
Whitby
1 : 2
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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