Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Markovs K.
67' Event
Kurtiss M.
85' Event
Korzans R.

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Leevon PPK
20%
Draws
19%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leevon PPK have won more games recently than JFK Ventspils.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 20%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
1:3
May 23, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korzans R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovs K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 85 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

JFK Ventspils has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leevon PPK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS JFK Ventspils
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

JFK Ventspils

(Away)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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