Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK

2 - 1

JFK Ventspils

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Markovs K.

67'

Kurtiss M.

85'

Korzans R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Leevon PPK

20%

Draws

38%

JFK Ventspils

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Leevon PPK have won more games recently than JFK Ventspils.
42% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
Regular Nakotnes liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 16%

JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	JFK Ventspils
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	7
Draws	7	9
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

1:3

May 23, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Jul 19, 2025 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Nov 2, 2024 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtiss M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Korzans R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Markovs K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 41 / 100

JFK Ventspils 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Leevon PPK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: JFK Ventspils conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

JFK Ventspils's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS JFK Ventspils

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	13	11	1	1	46:11	34
2	Valmiera	13	10	2	1	35:12	32
3	Riga Mariners	13	8	4	1	26:12	28
4	Leevon PPK	13	8	3	2	22:16	27
5	Alberts JDFS	13	7	2	4	28:21	23
6	Marupe	13	6	1	6	22:19	19
7	Riga FC 2	13	6	1	6	21:23	19
8	Super Nova 2	13	5	4	4	20:19	19
9	Skanste	13	4	1	8	20:27	13
10	JFK Ventspils	13	2	4	7	16:23	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	FK Smiltene	13	1	4	8	13:33	7
14	Rezekne	13	1	2	10	10:37	5