Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Leevon PPK

3 - 2

JFK Ventspils

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Labuds I. In: Kravcenko K.

Out: Labuds I.

18'

Muiznieks R.

37'

Sub

Cernovs A. In: Krums R.

Out: Cernovs A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Leevon PPK and JFK Ventspils finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Leevon PPK

39%

Draws

30%

JFK Ventspils

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 20%

JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	JFK Ventspils
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	7
Draws	7	9
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2.75	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

1:3

May 23, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Jul 19, 2025 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Nov 2, 2024 Nakotnes liga

JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Muiznieks R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Treimanis N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Svarups K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Markovs K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 32 / 100

JFK Ventspils 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JFK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Leevon PPK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: JFK Ventspils conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Leevon PPK has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS JFK Ventspils

2.75 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14