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Leevon PPK vs Rezekne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ilenans K.
Assist: Aogaki S.
65' Event
Muiznieks R.
Assist: Baturinskis A.
80' Event
Karpovs J.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Leevon PPK and Rezekne finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Leevon PPK
20%
Draws
6%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Rezekne haven't matched Leevon PPK's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Leevon PPK taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Leevon PPK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 68%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leevon PPK Rezekne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Leevon PPK
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Leevon PPK
1:2
Jun 29, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
6:2
Oct 5, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Leevon PPK
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilenans K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muiznieks R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpovs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 95 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leevon PPK Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leevon PPK scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Rezekne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Leevon PPK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Rezekne
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leevon PPK

(Home)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

Rezekne

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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