Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK

3 - 2

Riga FC 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Pena B.

61'

Abner

68'

Kravcenko K.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leevon PPK in this Nakotnes liga matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Leevon PPK

33%

Draws

40%

Riga FC 2

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Riga FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Leevon PPK lately — more wins on the board than Riga FC 2.
Riga FC 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 15%

Riga FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	Riga FC 2
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	2.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Sep 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

May 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Riga FC 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sep 16, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Riga FC 2

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

1:4

May 11, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Riga FC 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Treimanis N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kurtiss M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Riga FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nazarovs D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 27 / 100

Riga FC 2 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK Riga FC 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Leevon PPK found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Riga FC 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Leevon PPK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Riga FC 2

2.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	12	10	1	1	42:11	31
2	Valmiera	12	9	2	1	32:12	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	25:10	28
4	Leevon PPK	12	7	3	2	20:15	24
5	Alberts JDFS	12	6	2	4	25:20	20
6	Marupe	12	6	1	5	22:15	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	19:17	19
8	Riga FC 2	12	5	1	6	19:22	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	20:24	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	15:20	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	Rezekne	12	1	2	9	10:36	5
14	FK Smiltene	12	0	4	8	12:33	4