Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK

4 - 1

Tukums 2000 2

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Treimanis N.

Assist: Saito S.

37'

Saito S.

45'

Deruzinskis R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Leevon PPK and Tukums 2000 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Leevon PPK

Draws

Tukums 2000 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of Tukums 2000 2 on wins alone.
Leevon PPK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 16%

Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leevon PPK	Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	6
Draws	7	3
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	2.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Aug 1, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Apr 6, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Tukums 2000 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Oct 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Leevon PPK vs Tukums 2000 2

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jul 5, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Tukums 2000 2 vs Leevon PPK

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Treimanis N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Saito S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deruzinskis R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leevon PPK 84 / 100

Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leevon PPK Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 2 conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Leevon PPK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tukums 2000 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leevon PPK VS Tukums 2000 2

2.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Metta	13	11	1	1	46:11	34
2	Valmiera	13	10	2	1	35:12	32
3	Riga Mariners	13	8	4	1	26:12	28
4	Leevon PPK	13	8	3	2	22:16	27
5	Alberts JDFS	13	7	2	4	28:21	23
6	Marupe	13	6	1	6	22:19	19
7	Riga FC 2	13	6	1	6	21:23	19
8	Super Nova 2	13	5	4	4	20:19	19
9	Skanste	13	4	1	8	20:27	13
10	JFK Ventspils	13	2	4	7	16:23	10
11	RFS 2	12	2	3	7	15:26	9
12	Tukums 2000 2	12	2	2	8	16:31	8
13	FK Smiltene	13	1	4	8	13:33	7
14	Rezekne	13	1	2	10	10:37	5