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Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Lefkimmi and Thesprotos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lefkimmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lefkimmi
15%
Draws
0%
Thesprotos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lefkimmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lefkimmi come out ahead of Thesprotos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lefkimmi a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lefkimmi Clean Sheet 68%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lefkimmi Thesprotos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.5 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Lefkimmi
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
3:1
Apr 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
1:3
Jan 7, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Lefkimmi
1:3
Mar 17, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Lefkimmi vs Thesprotos
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lefkimmi 95 / 100
Thesprotos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lefkimmi Thesprotos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lefkimmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thesprotos has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Thesprotos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lefkimmi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Lefkimmi VS Thesprotos
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lefkimmi

(Home)
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Lefkimmi
4 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
01 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
5 : 1
Lefkimmi
28 Mar
Anthoupoli
2 : 2
Lefkimmi
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Thesprotos

(Away)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)