Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leganes B vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Ferreres F.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Leganes B
20%
Draws
52%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Galapagar at 1.55 per game, Leganes B at 1.52.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Galapagar
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Galapagar
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Galapagar
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Leganes B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 30 / 100
Galapagar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leganes B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Galapagar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Leganes B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS Galapagar
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
Page 1 of 7

Galapagar

(Away)
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)