Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Macazaga L.
21'
21'
Maganto I.
75'
75'
Munoz I.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Leganes B and Mexico finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leganes B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leganes B come out ahead of Mexico on wins alone.
- Model gives Leganes B a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Leganes B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leganes B | Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs Leganes B
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
4:0
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Mexico
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leganes B Compare
Top Goalscorer Macazaga L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Maganto I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Munoz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leganes B 49 / 100
Mexico 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leganes B Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leganes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leganes B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Mexico let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Leganes B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leganes B VS Mexico
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leganes B
(Home) 13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1 Leganes B
12 Aug
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 3 Leganes B
08 Aug
Illescas
1 : 2 Leganes B
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
12 Apr
Leganes B
2 : 3 San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 3
Mexico
(Away) 13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Mexico
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
