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Leganes B vs Real Aranjuez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Herrero J.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Mulumba S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Leganes B and Real Aranjuez finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leganes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leganes B
20%
Draws
29%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leganes B come out ahead of Real Aranjuez on wins alone.
  • Leganes B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leganes B here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 68%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.58 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Real Aranjuez
2:0
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Leganes B
1:1
Nov 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Real Aranjuez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulumba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Real Aranjuez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 95 / 100
Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aranjuez let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Leganes B found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leganes B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS Real Aranjuez
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)