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Leganes B vs Trival Valderas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
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Match Events

71' Event
Lindo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Leganes B and Trival Valderas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Leganes B
30%
Draws
43%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Leganes B on wins alone.
  • Leganes B are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 18%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes B Trival Valderas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.59 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Leganes B
1:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Leganes B
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Leganes B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes B 36 / 100
Trival Valderas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes B Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leganes B scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Leganes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Trival Valderas conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leganes B VS Trival Valderas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes B

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)