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Leganes vs Granada CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garcia N.
Assist: Gharbi I.
6'
Chukwuemeka O. M.
7' Event
Soko P.

AI Match Summary

Leganes in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leganes
20%
Draws
40%
Granada CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes haven't matched Granada CF's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leganes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%
Granada CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Granada CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Granada CF
3:2
Feb 6, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Granada CF
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Leganes
0:2
May 27, 2023 LaLiga2
Granada CF vs Leganes
2:0
Nov 27, 2022 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Granada CF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soko P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Granada CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 36 / 100
Granada CF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Granada CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granada CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Granada CF let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Granada CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Leganes's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Granada CF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
03 Oct
Cadiz
4 : 0
Leganes
28 Sept
Leganes
0 : 2
Castellon
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Granada CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Real Sociedad B
2 : 3
Granada CF
26 Sept
Granada CF
2 : 3
FC Andorra
20 Sept
Leganes
3 : 2
Granada CF
12 Sept
Granada CF
1 : 1
Albacete
06 Sept
Eibar
3 : 0
Granada CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
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