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Leganes vs Mirandes

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Leganes Logo

Leganes

1 - 0
FT
Mirandes Logo

Mirandes

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Gutierrez J.
25'
Garcia D.
34'
Hernandez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leganes in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leganes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Leganes
20%
Draws
42%
Mirandes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mirandes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes haven't matched Mirandes's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leganes Clean Sheet 20%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leganes Mirandes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Mirandes
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Leganes
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Mirandes
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Leganes
1:3
Feb 25, 2023 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Leganes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leganes Compare

Top Goalscorer Millan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mirandes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leganes 31 / 100
Mirandes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leganes Mirandes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Leganes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Leganes found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Leganes VS Mirandes
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leganes

(Home)
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
22 Aug
Real Oviedo
0 : 1
Leganes
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Mirandes

(Away)
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Mirandes
21 Aug
UD Logrones
4 : 0
Mirandes
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)