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Stadium Background

Legia II vs Kutno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ciach A.
31' Event
Krasniewski M.
44' Event
Ciach A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 game between Legia II and Kutno finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Legia II
15%
Draws
42%
Kutno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Legia II come out ahead of Kutno on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Legia II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Legia II Clean Sheet 10%
Kutno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia II Kutno
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Kutno
2:2
Nov 6, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Legia II
3:3
Mar 14, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Kutno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciach A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniewski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kacela M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia II 83 / 100
Kutno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia II Kutno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia II scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Kutno let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Away concern: Kutno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legia II VS Kutno
1.88 Goals Scored 3.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia II

(Home)
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Leczna
4 : 1
Legia II
06 Sept
Legia II
1 : 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
23 Aug
Legia II
6 : 1
Kleczew
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Kutno

(Away)
01 Aug
Wisla Dobrzyn
8 : 4
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
22 Feb
Kutno
1 : 6
Tluchowo
25 Jan
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Kutno
13 Jul
Kutno
3 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 36 26 3 7 80:27 81
2 Legionowo 36 24 8 4 76:39 80
3 Swit Mazowiecki 36 17 8 11 58:46 59
4 Legia II 36 16 10 10 77:55 58
5 Blonianka Blonie 36 17 6 13 61:62 57
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 36 16 8 12 63:48 56
7 LKS Lodz II 36 15 9 12 63:52 54
8 Ursus Warszawa 36 15 8 13 53:63 53
9 Jagiellonia II 36 16 4 16 66:58 52
10 Bron Radom 36 15 6 15 48:55 51
11 Unia Skierniewice 36 15 4 17 60:58 49
12 Pelikan 36 12 10 14 57:46 46
13 Pilica Bialobrzegi 36 13 6 17 57:72 45
14 Kutno 36 11 10 15 49:64 43
15 Mamry Gizycko 36 13 3 20 43:68 42
16 GKS Wikielec 36 10 12 14 42:53 42
17 Znicz Biala Piska 36 12 6 18 55:69 42
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 36 5 10 21 36:64 25
19 Wissa Szczuczyn 36 4 9 23 28:73 21
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)