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Legia vs Aris Limassol

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legia host Aris Limassol in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Aris Limassol have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Legia have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Legia slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2012, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Legia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Legia
6%
Draws
4%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Legia have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Legia Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Aris Limassol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2012 Club Friendly
Aris Limassol vs Legia
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 85 / 100
Aris Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Aris Limassol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Legia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aris Limassol conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Aris Limassol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%