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Legia vs Aris Limassol

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Charalampous C.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Yago S. In: Ovsyannikov D.
Out: Yago S.
46'
Sub
Matysik M. In: Theodosiou M.
Out: Matysik M.

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Legia
6%
Draws
4%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Legia have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Legia Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Aris Limassol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Aris Limassol
0:2
Jan 18, 2012 Club Friendly
Aris Limassol vs Legia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 85 / 100
Aris Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Aris Limassol let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Legia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Aris Limassol
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
18 Jul
Legia
0 : 2
Aris Limassol
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
14 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
Radomiak Radom
10 Jul
Legia
1 : 0
Trencin
07 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
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Aris Limassol

(Away)
18 Jul
Legia
0 : 2
Aris Limassol
22 May
Aris Limassol
3 : 4
AEK Larnaca
16 May
Apollon Limassol
3 : 2
Aris Limassol
10 May
Pafos
2 : 0
Aris Limassol
06 May
Aris Limassol
1 : 0
APOEL
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