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Legia vs Aris Limassol

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Charalampous C.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Yago S. In: Ovsyannikov D.
Out: Yago S.
46'
Sub
Matysik M. In: Theodosiou M.
Out: Matysik M.

AI Match Summary

Aris Limassol in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Legia
30%
Draws
31%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Legia have won more games recently than Aris Limassol.
  • Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Legia Clean Sheet 16%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Aris Limassol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Aris Limassol
0:2
Jan 18, 2012 Club Friendly
Aris Limassol vs Legia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 39 / 100
Aris Limassol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Aris Limassol let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Legia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Aris Limassol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
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Aris Limassol

(Away)
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
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